UFN 114 - Moreno vs S.Pettis - Mexico City

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jul 25, 2017.

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  1. Monster Meat

    Monster Meat Blue Belt

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    Haha been there sometime it does work out and it's a pleasant surprise the next morning
     
  2. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden GTM Gym, Tan, Make #Elite Bets

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    It makes perfect sense. Morales was getting taken down easily two fights ago and sanchez is absolutely relentless. Bad enough Sanchez is likely the better wrestler, but Morales isn't gonna be scrambling as easy vs him either
     
  3. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden GTM Gym, Tan, Make #Elite Bets

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    Also count me on board as someone giving Humberto a chance. In his recent fights he doesn't look bad at all, especially comparative to Bravo who's not very good yet. Can def see him winning the striking and slamming that left kick into Bravos ribs everytime he tries his winging punch combinations
     
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  4. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    I googled it and found an amateur recording from someone in the crowd
     
  5. Ballsaque

    Ballsaque Purple Belt

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    Yep, and he's a great grappler from the bottom, sweeps subs, everything. He's slower and less athletic, I'm not sure why everyone think he's such an amazing grappler, because he subbed a couple of prospects on the regional? He has a day job and just had a kid, and is training out of a garage somewhere in Texas
    Morales at least training with a real team and has some athletic potential.
     
  6. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden GTM Gym, Tan, Make #Elite Bets

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    We'll see but there really is no reason to be super confident in Morales. If you get taken down multiple times just 2 fights ago, and now youre fighting a guy who is absolutely relentless with his tds and grappling despite where hes training, there is clearly risk involved. I liked Sanchez NSC -125 as best bet for this fight
     
  7. Caicara

    Caicara Green Belt

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    Lonely Road again: Evans KO +600.

    Alvey is hittable, passive and Rashad won't be this passive this time.
     
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  8. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member

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    I'm on rashad, but I disagree that he won't be passive, hehe
     
  9. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Senior Moderator Staff Member

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    I think you're mistaken about bravo.not being ufc caliber.. he's 23, good camp, skills everywhere.. shown a good gas tank, some killer instinct & he has cojones.

    The cojones + good gastank will get anyone pretty far
     
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  10. Ballsaque

    Ballsaque Purple Belt

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    Agreed, not super confident at all. I have it a pickemish, but Morales at +150/+170 range is just off. Better striking on Morales though it will no doubt be a close scramble feast, switching position. May buy some back on Sanchez, he did look good in his last fight, but that was against a striker with little grappling.

    If either guy doesn't snatch up a sub early by establishing a solid position or by the opponent overextending in a scramble, it will be real close imo.
     
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  11. Agent Mulder

    Agent Mulder Brown Belt

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    Re: Rashad. Fighters who lose the ability to pull the trigger as they get older never gets it back. Especially in the usada era.
     
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  12. JimGunn

    JimGunn Red Belt

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    I've been saying this to everyone who will listen, but Rashad keeps getting bet and the line on Alvey keeps getting better.
     
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  13. CR0W

    CR0W ʙᴏxɪɴɢ

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    Exactly, don't have any money on this fight because it could end up a 15 minute light contact sparring match. But yes, he isn't going to come out and all of a sudden start throwing high volume again or be relentlessly getting takedowns, you don't get that stuff back. If he was that timid against a fairly nonthreatening Dan Kelly he isn't going to be launching himself into close quarters or going for a huge one shot KO when Alvey has the power to put him clean out.
     
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  14. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden GTM Gym, Tan, Make #Elite Bets

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    If Rashad looks like he did vs Kelly, he'll still be faster than Alvey (as basically everyone is) and if hes smart he can do what Elias and Leites did and just kick him and move. I've got some money on the over and other than that its livebet or Rashad dec if the night is going well. You can't trust Alvey just as much as you can't trust Rashad
     
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  15. BigNick100

    BigNick100 Blue Belt

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    Alvey just lost to a washed up Leites, and Alvey's is as low volume as it gets. He could clip Evans, but I wouldn't be surprised to see a boring dec win for Evans either.
     
  16. Jamah

    Jamah Blue Belt

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    He got one of his legs injured in r1
     
  17. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden GTM Gym, Tan, Make #Elite Bets

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    I have no reason to doubt thats true, but i'm just saying. Was his ankle also injured vs Elias, Marquardt, and whoever else he just stared at? Just gives me more reason to believe he'll fight as he always does.
     
  18. BigNick100

    BigNick100 Blue Belt

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    But Alvey is as low volume as it gets. He won't be pressing forward like Dad body Kelly did, he won't gas out Evans. It's just that chin of Evans, but I think takes this one
     
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  19. Jamah

    Jamah Blue Belt

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    He loves to stay on the outside waiting for the perfect counter punch. That's why he can't be trusted, he can wait for 3 rounds for a perfect counter punch that might not come. But don't get me wrong, Rashad can't be trusted either, I'd rather bet on Bojan Mihajlovic than on Evans.
     
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  20. Jamah

    Jamah Blue Belt

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    I'm staying away from this fight, I can't bet on Evans, I just can't...
     
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