I didn't see the fight yet so my answer here won't be influenced by the actual event. I think I can simplify by saying I think she's a clearly better striker. Possibly better on the outside, where Holly likes to fight, and way better on the inside. Despite her background, Holly does NOT penetrate well into range or throw a good job. She relies on catching her opponents when they try to penetrate. I was thinking that GDR was unlikely to make that mistake (either she'd make Holly go after her and punish her or she'd get into range without getting caught and effectively pressure Holly and work inside). I didn't see GDR as a lock, but I thought -200 would have been appropriate, while I got her at -135. Not as bad as Holloway/Pettis, but a clear mistake, IMO. I had $150 on her.