Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jul 30, 2017.
$30 on Price at $2.45. I think there's value in that price.
0.75u Pettis +152 +1.14u
0.1u Grasso RD3 +1850 -0.1u
0.58u Alvey -115 +0.5u
0.3u Alvey KO +297 -0.3u
0.5u Briones +190 -0.5u
0.1 Briones RD3 +2200 -0.1u
0.1u Alvey/Jouban/Grasso/Pettis +1059 -0.1u
0.55u RR (2s,3s,4) Alvey KO/Jouban DEC/Grasso DEC/Pettis ITD -0.55u
Live bet: 0.5u Pettis-Moreno ITD +240 -0.5u
Wasn't expecting much on this one, not surprised with the small loss. I thought Pettis was gonna get the finish after how the 3rd round went. Would have been nice but oh well. Hopefully some of you guys did better tonight.
back on track after two appauling events. still have a lot of recouping to do but it's a start.
Dober, hermansson £200 returns £404
Perez £50 returns £125
Quinonez, grasso £141 retuns £352
Price, pettis £50 returns £300
Price, pettis £50 returns £282
Rinaldi, morales, quinonez, briones, Ortiz, hermansson, evans, price, grasso, pettis £10 returns £5709
Ortiz, grasso, briones, quinonez, pettis £52 returns £1059
Evans, price, pettis £150 returns £1819
Bravo £75 returns £100
Briones r3, price r3, grasso r3, pettis dec £11 RR
Pettis, Moreno draw £20 returns £420
TOTAL PROFIT: £654
-3u I'm not doing well lately, I played too many props and missed all my pre bets. The late addition and the livebetting made it less worse.
This break might help me. Hope you guys had a good night.
+4.5u. Ortiz KO hurt, and disappointed I couldn't get anything out of the RR with Perez DEC, but no regrets really. Well I regret not hitting Pettis +300 actually after R1, but that's mostly hindsight. Overall, wild card that went nothing like I thought it would, so very happy to come out ahead.
2 team parlay
Sam alvey + Alejandro perez
3 team parlay
Dustin Ortiz + rani yahya + joe morales
7 team parlay
UFN 114 results
Total risk $700
Total profit $3,049.14
Also lost about 5 or 6 long 12 team parlays adding up to $100ish in loss
Have slips posted here except the last which ill post tomorrow
Biggest night i have had so far, feels great to come back after getting crushed by Aldo a few months back. I said i was done, and i really thought i was. But i changed my strategy up a bit and attacked from a new angle, taking the enemy by surprise.
+11.5u including a couple live bets:
Pettis +150 .5u
Pettis/Moreno ends in KO +409 .25u
Pettis/Moreno draw +6600 .03u
Perez +100 3u
Perez DEC +300 .33u
Markos +185 .5u
Bravo/Bandenay U2.5 +105 .5u
That +100 Quinones opener was insane. So glad I missed the Ortiz over opener and had to go with the ML. Was very tempted by Bandenay but couldn't bet on short notice in Mexico City. Couldn't believe the Perez line after two 50/50 rounds, the KDs Souk was landing were more knock overs, he was never rocked. I added another 3u after the first and just couldn't add more despite the +2-+300 lines. Was feeling really good about the draw in the ME once Moreno got that TD in the 5th.
Wasn't expecting great results with this event but came away with a decent sized profit, much needed after last week.
UFN 114 Net: -1,105.65
moreno +204: 270 for 550 / moreno DEC: 9 parlays / moreno SUB: 40 for 100 - 31 parlays / moreno RD4: 5 parlays / moreno RD5: 11 parlays / moreno SPLIT: 10 for 118.50 / moreno NSC: 40 parlay / ITD: 180 for 244 / O4.0: 21 parlays / O2.5: 70 for 50 / pettis DEC: 5 parlays / pettis SPLIT: 10 for 106
markos +226: 79 for 178.20 / markos DEC: 35 for 102.90 / markos RD3: 15 for 236.25 / grasso DEC: 21 parlays / grasso RD3: 25 for 462.50 - 6 parlays / grasso NSC: 0.30 for 6
jouban -155: 155 for 100 / jouban DEC: 31 for 99.20 - 21 parlays / jouban RD3: 6 parlays / O1.5: 60 for 50 / price DEC: 10 parlays / price KO: 5 parlays / price RD1: 19 parlays / price +3.5: 62.50 for 50 - 21 parlays
bravo ITD: 21 parlays / bravo SUB: 10 parlays / bravo RD2: 30 for 157.50 - 19 parlays / bravo RD3: 20 for 182.50 - 16 parlays
alvey -130: 39 for 30 / alvey NSC: 40 parlay / alvey RD3: 10 parlays / O2.5: 105 for 60 / evans: 21 parlays / evans DEC: 21 parlays
soukhamthath: 21 parlays / souk ITD: 5 parlays / souk NSC: 111 for 100 / DEC: 50 for 40 / NOT perez ITD: 40 parlay
hermansson -175: 192.50 for 110 / hermansson SUB: 5 parlays / hermansson RD3: 10 for 100 - 6 parlays / scott SUB: 10 - parlays
sandoval DEC: 35 for 162.75 - 14 parlays / O2.5: 205 for 100 / ortiz RD3: 12 for 195 - 6 parlays
briones +190: 100 for 190 - 21 parlays / briones DEC: 50 for 200 - 14 parlays / briones ITD: 5 parlays / briones RD3: 33 for 642.25 - 6 parlays / briones +3.5: 21 parlays / yahya SUB: 10 parlays
rivas +175: 50 for 87.50 - 21 parlays / rivas ITD: 14 parlays / rivas KO: 10 parlays / quinonez SUB: 30 for 109.50 - 10 parlays / quinonez RD3: 5 parlays
morales +115: 50 for 57.50 - 21 parlays / morales ITD: 21 parlays / morales SUB: 20 for 94 - 24 parlays / morales RD3: 9 for 99 - 10 parlays
rinaldi SUB: 31 parlays / rinaldi RD2: 15 for 71.25 / rinaldi RD3: 10 for 90 - 10 parlays
FOTN: briones-yahya: 5 for 75
21 RR for 4,520.33: morenoRD5/ grassoRD3/ joubanRD3/ bravoRD3/ hermanssonRD3/ ortizRD3/ brionesRD3
15 RR for (paid +1.80) 402.18: pettisDEC/ priceKO/ bravoRD2/ sandovalDEC/ brionesITD/ rivasITD
20 RR for (paid +42.81) 1,170.61: morenoSUB/ bravoSUB/ yahyaSUB/ quinonesSUB/ moralesSUB/ rinaldiSUB
21 RR for 3,239.82: morenoDEC/ priceRD1/ bravoRD2/ sandovalDEC/ brionesDEC/ rivasITD/ moralesSUB
15 RR for (paid +14.93) 898.71: priceRD1/ alveyRD3/ soukITD/ scottSUB/ rivasKO/ moralesSUB
56 RR for 1,560.34: morenoSUB/ joubanDEC/ bravoITD/ evansDEC/ briones/ rivas/ moralesITD/ rinaldiSUB
49 RR for (paid -6.22) 327.06: morenopettisO4.0/ grassoDEC/ price+3.5/ evans/ souk/ briones+3.5/ morales
15 RR for 1,766.51: morenoRD4/ priceDEC/ bravoRD3/ alveyRD3/ scottSUB/ moralesRD3
15 RR for 1,990.07: morenoRD5/ priceDEC/ bravoRD3/ quinonesRD3/ moralesRD3/ rinaldiRD3
15 RR for 684.03: priceRD1/ bravoRD2/ hermanssonSUB/ brionesDEC/ rivasKO/ rinaldiRD3
40 for (paid +11.53) 47.17: morenoNSC/ alveyNSC/ NOTperezITD
great freakin way to go into the month-long ufc break.
really disliked the judges tonight. thought souk won his fight. thought moreno was a draw. thought markos could've won her fight, too, but not surprised by that one in mexico city.
absurd outcome in the ortiz-sandoval fight. total fluke (handicapping-wise).
whatever. can't win every week.
Missed Souk = -$50
Hit Alvey = +$70
Hit Price = +43.50
Total = +$63.50 ~1.5U
Had way too much exposure on Moreno going into the last fight, would have been up 12u+ had he won. Moreno is toilet.
The one that counted hit haha - Disappointed in myself, I'm not liking how many variations of the same parlays im doing .. it's like if 1 leg lets me down 5 parlays die.. gunna try take that into consideration for the next card.
Other than that - I wish i'd went heavier on Pettis, I was really confident he would win - especially once he thwarted the sub in r1 - wish I had a decent livebetting site I could turn to! (I'm in England if anyone has any suggestions).
Not the best night, not the worst.
I never got around to posting my bets this week..Last two events were horrible for me, so it feels good to win something even if I barely made any profit.
2u Ortiz - 1.44
1.5u Moreno SUB/DEC - 1.83
1u Alvey - 1.65
1u Rinaldi + Ortiz o2.5
0.75u Ortiz/Sandoval o2.5
0.5u Bravo/Brandenay u2.5 - 2.25
0.5u Hermansson DEC - 2.62
0.5u Hermansson/Scott o2.5 - 1.66
0.5u Rinaldi + Hermansson - 2.02
0.5u Yahya ITD - 2.30
0.25u Alvey ITD - 2.87
0.25u Bravo ITD - 2.40
0.25u Pettis DEC - 3.75
0.1u Yahya R1 - 5.00
0.1u Alvey R2 - 7.50
0.1u Bravo R1 - 4.75
0.1u Sanchez/Morales ends by SUB - 2.50
0.05u Moreno R3 / R4 / R5 - 9.00/ 15.00/ 26.00
1u Alvey - 1.50
1u Pettis - 2.20
0.5u Souk - 1.83
0.5u Perez - 2.40
0.1u Rivas - 5.85
0.1u Moreno/Pettis Draw
I'm beating myself up over not going big on Pettis live. I just couldn't shake the thought of him doing something stupid I guess.
Won $72 on Pettis. Staying slow on gambling UFC until I stop being emotional about the Cormier loss.
Up 0.6U UFC and 1.3U Boxing so a good weekend.
Sam Alvey to win
$19 to win $32.81
$15 to win $34.50
Pettis to win
$18 to win $39.60
Total Possible Payout: $106.91
Total Risk: $52
Total Actual Payout: $72.41
Finally got around to posting this, been away all weekend. Was a goodnight of fights for me